Over the past few months, a massive wave of secondary-market demand has been building around one specific LEGO Star Wars set. With its retirement locked in for the end of 2026, collectors and investors are scrambling to secure it at retail price before it disappears from shelves forever.
The set in question? Set 75389: The Dark Falcon.
This striking, all-black reimagining of the iconic Millennium Falcon stems from the niche Rebuild the Galaxy animated special. Because it belongs to such a specific piece of Star Wars media, its robust lineup of unique, “flipped” characters will almost certainly never be printed again. It’s a perfect storm for aftermarket growth.
Before we dive into the exact numbers, it’s important to establish the ground rules of this market analysis. To keep the upcoming data clean and objective, I looked exclusively at completed eBay sales, comparing a snapshot from the beginning of May against the most recent transactions. eBay provided the most reliable way to verify transaction history and accurately separate the new and used markets. Across these two timeframes, I pulled a sample size of 33 verified sales to build the core dataset.
To eliminate outliers that could skew the averages, I applied some strict quality controls to that sample. The data only includes sets that are brand new, factory-sealed, and physically undamaged. This means I manually filtered out “new” listings where the box had been opened to harvest the minifigures, as well as sets with heavy sticker damage on the packaging that caused them to sell at an artificial discount. Finally, all cents have been rounded to the nearest dollar to keep the upcoming figures clean and easy to read.
With the framework in place, let’s take a look at what the numbers tell us about the Dark Falcon’s sudden market surge.
The numbers
Looking back at the first week of May, from May 1st to May 8th, the Dark Falcon was trading at a relatively stable baseline. During this stretch, the median price sat at $137, with the average trailing a few cents behind at $136.42. Budget-conscious collectors could find a price floor of $120, while the absolute price ceiling maxed out at $160. This meant the overall range volatility, the gap between the lowest and highest sale, was a modest $40. Meaning the fluctuation in sale price settled in a narrow range.
Fast forward to the week of June 18th through the 25th, and the market landscape shifted dramatically. The median price climbed to $175, almost perfectly mirroring the new average price of $174.94. Even the lowest entry point spiked, establishing a new price floor of $145. Meanwhile, aggressive buyers pushed the absolute price ceiling up to a staggering $234. This massive spread caused the range volatility to more than double, blowing past the May baseline to hit $89.
When we stack these two time periods against each other, the growth across just a month and a half is incredible. Every single metric saw massive, double-digit percentage gains. The median price jumped by 27.7%, while the average price closely followed with a 28.2% increase. The baseline also became significantly more expensive for casual buyers, with the price floor growing by 20.8%. Most telling of all, however, was the market ceiling, which experienced a whopping 46.2% surge. This is a clear sign that some investors, or last minute buyers, are willing to pay a massive premium just to secure this set before it’s too late.
The availability
With buyers already pushing aftermarket prices into the low $200s, it raises an important question: what does the current retail landscape actually look like? If people are already willing to pay that much over the standard $180 retail price, you would expect stock to be drying up, and that is exactly what we are seeing.
Finding the Dark Falcon at normal retail pricing is becoming a massive challenge. Major marketplaces like Target have already completely sold out of their online inventory. Over at Walmart, the set is still listed, but it has been marked up to around $220 by third-party sellers looking to capitalize on the early panic. Fortunately, LEGO.com still has the set available at retail price, but it is currently sitting on a lengthy backorder with long shipping times, which is a telltale sign of heavy demand.
Looking across all of these major platforms, the writing is on the wall. Supply is tightening fast, and if you want to add this set to your collection before it retires, your best bet is to lock it in on LEGO.com right now while buying it at retail is still an option.
FinBriCo is an independent fan site and is not affiliated with, authorized, or endorsed by The LEGO Group.